Live on ITV4: Sun 19.45: Germany are 4/6 (William Hill) to make it three wins from three in Euro 2012 by beating Denmark in Lviv.
“Only romantics believe Denmark can overhaul Germany,” quipped one radio pundit on Wednesday after the Danes had lost, cruelly, to a late Portuguese winner in Lviv. Bookies appear to agree with Stan James offering 11/2 against a shock Danish success on Sunday night, whereas William Hill chalk 4/6 about the Germans winning Group B with maximum points.
Yet the history books suggest that Denmark are capable of winning the point that could possibly secure their passage to the quarter final. They drew 2-2 against Germany in a friendly in August 2010 and have beaten them on the previous two occasions they’ve met since the turn of the century. It’s a record which adds appeal to Ladbrokes’ 11/4 price posted in favour of the draw.
Not as though there has been much support for Denmark in betting markets where cold-headed realism is the order of the day. Boylesports’ 5/6 for the fixture to yield more than 2.5 goals has been well backed and Coral report steady support for their 15/2 price chalked against a 2-1 German victory.
However, no-one gave Denmark a prayer when they played Holland in the opening Group B match last week, yet the Danes outplayed the disappointing Dutch and won 1-0. It’s unlikely they’ll outplay Germany, but Betfred’s 6/5 for the opening half to finish on level terms cannot be ignored and those who believe Denmark can keep Gomez & Co at bay for the second 45 minutes can get 11/2 (BetVictor.com) for both halves to end in stalemate, although it seems more likely that at 7/2 with Paddy Power, Joachim Low’s side will nick it following an even first period.
Elsewhere, Skybet hand Denmark a goal start at odds of 6/5 while Niklas Bendtner is 11/4 at William Hill to find the net at any time.
Does romance still exist in football? Punters who believe it does can get 6/1 at bet365 against the Danes forcing a 1-1 draw. Realists may prefer the 12/1 available at Skybet for Germany to win 3-0.
Recommended Bets:
Draw/Germany in HT/FT betting – 7/2 (Paddy Power)
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