Paul Ferguson has two selections for us on Saturday; Tres Coronas 14:55 at York and Kinshasa in the Ascot 16:15. Compare odds and bet.
Given he is 15lb better off with joint-favourite Clever Cookie for just ¾ of a length over course-and-distance in May, Tres Coronas (2:55) appeals as a bit of each-way value in this afternoon’s John Smith’s Cup.
Third in this contest last year on quick ground and a winner on soft at Chester in May, the seven-year-old handles all ground conditions alike and clearly relishes today’s track and trip. Available at 25-1 with Coral, the wide draw is the only real negative, but he overcome that when second to Clever Cookie in May and a line can be drawn through his latest start having dwelt leaving the stalls.
He is certainly worth another chance at the odds and, though he will need luck in running from behind, he can certainly outrun those odds on offer.
Down at Ascot the penultimate race on the card looks a cracking three-year-old handicap, with the likes of Wrangler and Galizzi having been selected in this column in recent weeks.
The pair I favour today, however, are Nabatean and Kinshasa (4:15) with marginal preference for Luca Cumani’s hat-trick seeker, as he hasn’t been harshly treated since his latest Salisbury success.
Up just 5lbs, the Pivotal colt will appreciate a more strongly run race here and can continue on his upward curve.
Andrew Balding’s runner is greatly respected on a line through Melrose Abbey, who beat him at Chepstow before he easily shed his maiden tag at Lingfield. A strong traveller, he too should relish a truly run race such as this.
Saturday’s selections:
2:55 York Tres Coronas
4:15 Ascot Kinshasa
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