Paul Ferguson has two selections for us on Sunday The Westerner Boy in the Gowran Park 2.30 and Diala each way in the Newmarket 3.15. Compare odds and bet
After the success of Camelot in yesterday’s 2,000 Guineas many people will be expecting Maybe to follow up for Aidan O’Brien in this afternoon’s 1,000 Guineas.
The Galileo filly is a worthy market leader judged on her two-year-old form, but today’s race looks to have more strength in depth to it than the colts version yesterday and she is a shorter price than Camelot was.
From a value point of view, I’m therefore going to take her on with Diala (3:15) who was available at 16/1 with Hills overnight and is worth backing each-way (Hills only paying 1/5 odds so check out the best morning line price and each-way terms).
If you look at the official ratings of 16 of her 17 rivals (The Fugue has yet to be allotted an official mark) you will think I’m made selecting her, as she is the lowest rated of the lot. Indeed, according to the handicapper, the Iffraaj filly has a massive 26lbs to find with favourite Maybe but it would have been a similar story when William Haggas won last year’s Oaks with Dancing Rain.
Haggas doesn’t saddle runners in Classics without good reason and this filly looked potentially smart when winning a maiden at the track last October. Prior to that she was just ¾ of a length off Lyric Of Light here in August and Haggas believes she was not quite right that day, plus she was a little unlucky in running. In a wide-open heat, she looks worth a small each-way interest at the prices.
Like yesterday, there’s one for short-price backers in the opener over in Ireland, where The Westerner Boy (2:30) ought to be tough to beat in the gowranpark.ie Maiden Hurdle.
The five-year-old makes his debut for Colm Murphy and JP McManus this afternoon, having earlier run in two bumpers for Mags Mullins. Fifth on his racecourse debut behind the smart Texas Jack in last year’s Goffs Land Rover Bumper, he then went pointing and won at the second time of asking by 10 lengths (fell on his first outing).
Back under rules in a Fairyhouse bumper on New Year’s Day, he relished the testing conditions to win by 20 lengths under Patrick Mullins and the second has won since.
Likely to be a warm order here he appeals as the type to be well backed, so this is one to take an early price about.
Sunday’s selections:
2:30 Gowran Park : The Westerner Boy (4/5 bet365)
3:15 Newmarket: Diala (each-way 16/1 Hills)
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- AL FEROF won Supreme Novices’ Hurdle 10-1
- BENSALEM won Stewart Family Handicap 5-1
- BOBS WORTH won A Bartlett 15-8, 4/4 for year
- CAPTAIN CHRIS won Arkle Trophy 6-1
- FIRST LIEUTENANT won Neptune Investment 7-1
- (plus Grade 1 in Ireland 16-1)
- JAMES DE VASSY won Lanzarote Hurdle 8-1
- LONG RUN won King George 9-2, Gold Cup 7-2
- OSCAR WHISKY won Aintree Hurdle 6-1
- Peddlers Cross (Fighting Fifth Hurdle)
- Medermit (Scilly Isles Novices’ Chase)
- FINIAN’S RAINBOW (Maghull Novices’ Chase)
- WISHFULL THINKING (Manifesto Novices’ Chase)
