Paul Ferguson has two tips for us on Saturday at Epsom – Seville in the Derby (4.00) and Bourne (4.50) Compare odds
It’s nine years since Aidan O’Brien last landed the Derby, courtesy of High Chaparral, but the Master of Ballydoyle holds a strong hand this year and can take Flat racing’s most prestigious prize with Seville (4:00).
Recital may well be the stable’s number one hope according to the betting, but he showed quirks last time and connections are also voicing concerns about the trip, whilst the selection will relish a truly run race and the step up to 1m4f.
Runner-up to Derby favourite Carlton House in the Dante last time, the Galileo colt has a length-and-a-half to find with The Queen’s runner. Visually, it’s hard to see a reversal in form, but Seville will surely be kept hold of longer this time (his the front travelling strongly at York) and the longer trip should be right up his street.
Carlton House may well beat him again, but he has had a well-documented setback in the build up to the contest and we must, therefore, look elsewhere for the value.
The selection can be backed at 7/1 (Ladbrokes) at the time of writing, so can be backed each-way ¼ odds to 3 places if you so wish.
Elsewhere on the card Luca Cumani’s Bourne (4:50) is another who should relish the step up to 1m4f and the grey can take the Investec Surefooted Handicap under the master of Epsom Downs, Kieren Fallon.
The son of Linamix won both starts last term and, after an encouraging reappearance behind the potentially high-class Modun at Newbury, he regained the winning thread at Haydock last time.
Up 6lbs for that success, he can take this en route to a crack at one of the leading handicaps later in the season, possibly the Ebor at York in August.
Saturday’s selections:
4:00 Epsom Seville (7/1 Ladbrokes)
4:50 Epsom Bourne
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